How Guinea's Railway Has Twice Tripped Up RUSAL
An alumina transport train derailed, halting exports—but more notably, the plant had already been struggling with fuel shortages prior to the derailment.
Source: 矿立方深度报道
aluminumanalysis
An alumina transport train derailed, halting exports—but more notably, the plant had already been struggling with fuel shortages prior to the derailment.
Appears to be a concession to India, but in reality, it is merely a slower blade.
The CEO of Bahrain Aluminum described the incident as merely a "minor attack."
Why did this cycle in alumina reverse so quickly?
Can the cost floor hold the price bottom? The extent of the oversupply is hidden in Guinea's ore prices.
On July 6, 2026, Goldman Sachs released its latest aluminum market research report, lowering its average annual LME aluminum price forecast for 2027 from $2,950 per tonne to $2,700 per tonne, while cutting its Q4 2026 forecast from $3,200 per tonne to $2,950 per tonne.